Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-05 0.000184 0.000205 0.000228 0.000255 0.000285 0.000317 0.000355
2025-01-12 0.000151 0.000180 0.000213 0.000254 0.000302 0.000358 0.000427
2025-01-19 0.000129 0.000162 0.000203 0.000255 0.000320 0.000400 0.000505
2025-01-26 0.000110 0.000145 0.000190 0.000251 0.000331 0.000434 0.000576
2025-02-02 0.000101 0.000139 0.000190 0.000262 0.000362 0.000495 0.000687
2025-02-09 0.000091 0.000131 0.000185 0.000266 0.000382 0.000543 0.000786
2025-02-16 0.000082 0.000123 0.000180 0.000269 0.000400 0.000590 0.000887
2025-02-23 0.000074 0.000115 0.000174 0.000268 0.000413 0.000630 0.000981
2025-03-02 0.000066 0.000106 0.000166 0.000263 0.000419 0.000659 0.001060
2025-03-09 0.000060 0.000099 0.000160 0.000262 0.000429 0.000695 0.001154
2025-03-16 0.000056 0.000094 0.000155 0.000262 0.000442 0.000736 0.001258
2025-03-23 0.000051 0.000089 0.000151 0.000262 0.000454 0.000777 0.001365
2025-03-30 0.000047 0.000083 0.000145 0.000258 0.000461 0.000811 0.001467
2025-04-06 0.000043 0.000079 0.000141 0.000258 0.000473 0.000856 0.001593
2025-04-13 0.000040 0.000075 0.000138 0.000260 0.000489 0.000908 0.001739
2025-04-20 0.000037 0.000071 0.000133 0.000256 0.000495 0.000943 0.001855
2025-04-27 0.000036 0.000070 0.000136 0.000268 0.000531 0.001036 0.002093
2025-05-04 0.000034 0.000068 0.000134 0.000272 0.000552 0.001104 0.002287
2025-05-11 0.000032 0.000066 0.000133 0.000274 0.000571 0.001169 0.002482
2025-05-18 0.000030 0.000063 0.000129 0.000274 0.000583 0.001221 0.002654
2025-05-25 0.000027 0.000059 0.000124 0.000269 0.000585 0.001252 0.002785
2025-06-01 0.000025 0.000056 0.000121 0.000267 0.000595 0.001300 0.002957
2025-06-08 0.000024 0.000054 0.000119 0.000268 0.000608 0.001356 0.003154